2009-04-29: SPY 日图分析

今天分析一下日图吧，　有很多可以值得说的。
0) gap up is accepted by market in the first ten minutes, up trend confirmed!
1) 9:30-10:45的５浪上升，　到87.5的日图强阻力，　STO ND, 应该是比较好的short entry
2) uptrend strong, pull back is small, then make new high, STO still ND, better short entry!
3) strong uptrend, pullback to previous low, as day support, STO over sold, in uptrend, this is a strong buy signal
4) 1:30, market behave very very irrational. Big volume up, make the intention of break out and run away up up up. STO STRONG ND, nice short entry! See if you have the guts to do it?
5) 2:30, up to 88.1, back to 87.5 support, should be a perfect buy on 87.5, break out confirmed with big volume. But 20 minutes later, it is faded away, to hard to adjust!
6) 5 wave down trend, 87.5 is not a support at all, strong down trend!
7) 3:50, short cover, or new bull enter?

日后看图，都很清楚，关键是，日间看图，是不是能头脑清醒？？？

今天的感觉：
1） GDP被解读为好消息， 突破在即。
2）市场waiting for Fed around 87.5, 严阵以待，要突破。　
3) Fed其实什么也没说，　市场出现震荡，　但是熊胜，　突破失败！

我不知道明天如何，这个突破失败，在我看来，　对牛的打击比较大，　所以今天的日间高点，未必那么容易突破。　只有突破今天的88.4，　牛才可能真的控制局势。　注意２：３０以后的volume, 很大，而且是下降波，　我觉得其实很bearish. 个人感觉，　上升不容易，可能继续震荡。

还请各位多多讨论，指教，今天一波三折，有ＴＡ， 有消息，有突破，有回调，是一个很有意义的一天，哈哈。